I guess my confusion is this – at what point does reality exert any influence on the lies-and-trash accounting? What in the physical reality is the reason they can’t just keep fapcircling the economy forever?
The power company wants money to power your datacenter. The refinery wants money to deliver five 40-foot containers of germanium to nvidia in Taiwan. OpenAI staff want money to buy houses in California. If you are really rich, banks will lend you money against OpenAI or nvidia equity, but then stock prices falling can trigger a chain reaction where the bank calls the loan, you need to sell equity to give them the cash they want, driving down the stock price, others get scared it will drop further and sell …
I guess my confusion is this – at what point does reality exert any influence on the lies-and-trash accounting? What in the physical reality is the reason they can’t just keep fapcircling the economy forever?
The power company wants money to power your datacenter. The refinery wants money to deliver five 40-foot containers of germanium to nvidia in Taiwan. OpenAI staff want money to buy houses in California. If you are really rich, banks will lend you money against OpenAI or nvidia equity, but then stock prices falling can trigger a chain reaction where the bank calls the loan, you need to sell equity to give them the cash they want, driving down the stock price, others get scared it will drop further and sell …
The bit where OpenAi and Anthropic need actual real dollars to set on fire.