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The original was posted on /r/ukraine by /u/Bitterholz on 2024-09-19 14:18:59+00:00.

Toropets aftermath, analysed by Bitterholz, original image by Maxar

Here is a quick analysis of the southern part of the Toropets ammunition storage facility in the Tver region. Unfortunately the northern part of the facility is still covered in smoke, so that part has been left out for now.

Below is a list of the 40 reinforced ammunition storage bunkers (not including the top two next to the long building hidden under the smoke plume).

  • B1: Seemingly undamaged
  • B2: Appears destroyed, structure appears collapsed in on itself
  • B3: Hidden by smoke but might also be destroyed
  • B4: Hidden by smoke
  • B5: Visibly damaged with impact crater
  • B6-B9: Hidden by smoke
  • B10-B11: Likely damaged or destroyed, impact crater present
  • B12-B15: No visible damage
  • B16: Hidden by smoke but likely damaged, debris present
  • B17: Hidden by smoke but break in birm indicates blowout
  • B18: Visibly destroyed
  • B19-B20: Likely damaged or destroyed, cratering and debris present
  • B21: Hidden by smoke
  • B22-B23: Visibly destroyed, large smoke plumes eminating from structure
  • B24-B27: No visible damage
  • B28-B29: Visibly destroyed. Smoke plume eminating from B28, birms destroyed indicating blowouts
  • B30-B31: Hidden by smoke
  • B32-B33: Visible impact craters, damage to internals uncertain but likely
  • B34-B36: No visible damage
  • B37: Hidden by smoke
  • B38: Visibly destroyed, roof caved in
  • B39: Visibly destroyed, several holes in roof where ammunition has blown out, smoke eminanting
  • B40: No visible damage

The large building to the northeast of the bunkers appears to be damaged or destroyed. Debris on roof and surrounding area.

EDIT 1:

Further evidence suggests that this attack was conducted using the newly developed and ukrainian made “Palianytsia” Cruise Missile. Marking the first large scale use of this weapon against russian targets. A video that has been referenced to be recorded as the strike was happening contained the sound of small jet engines followed by explosions, leading to this conclusion. The bunkerbusting capaibility of the “Palianystia” Cruise Missle is a further indicator.

Drones are unlikely to have been used on this part of the facility, as the strikes appear to have penetrated reinforced concrete bunker structures, which is not possible with standard high explosive fragmentation warhead drones.

However drones such as the ukrainian made copy of the british jet-powered “Banshee” long range attack drone may have been used to target the softshell warehouse and open storage in the northern part of the facility.