• Conselheiro@lemmygrad.ml
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    4 days ago

    The US and Iran have been doing this dance of negotiated symbolic strikes and retaliations for at least 10 years now. It’s a testament to Iran’s security that they have never considered those strikes an existential threat until now. They could let the US walk away with some domestic PR victory while securing their diplomatic goals like they’ve done every time. The fact that they’re not doing that indicates that it no longer seems like a safe bet, and I think it’s fair to assume the very recent example of Maduro being kidnapped mid-negotiation is a really bad look for the US foreign delegation.

    They likely are hours or days from being able to assemble a nuclear bomb and nobody knows where their enriched uranium is.

    Those two claims are dubious, there’s lots of satellite imagery of the facilities for both enrichment and stockpiling, and there’s no evidence that they’re actually that close to nuclear warheads, which aren’t even a red line in their negotiations.

    That color revolution did almost no damage

    It caused the death of some 3000 people according to Iran’s official lists and forced them to turn off the internet in many large cities across the country. I wouldn’t call that almost no damage.

    Edit:

    Image of the enrichment sites, in case anyone wants them for whatever reason.