Author: Sasha Vakulina
Published on: 10/07/2025 | 00:00:00

AI Summary:
Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan and Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev are meeting on Thursday in Abu Dhabi, UAE. This is the first formal bilateral meeting between the two leaders since they agreed on the draft draft text of the peace agreement. The results of this meeting will ultimately shape the future of the South Caucasus. In September 2023, Azerbaijan reclaimed complete control of the Karabakh region after a lightning military campaign. Yerevan and Baku are making history away from Russia by agreeing on the text of a peace accord. Armenia realised this even sooner, in 2020, during the six-week escalation. Moscow is trying to repair the cooperation with its former ally. Russia’s attempt to scare the European Union, which has deployed monitors to Armenia. Yerevan categorically denied the claims that Russia is strengthening its presence in Armenia. The second disinformation campaign, Giragosian said, includes a Russian allegation of a bio weapons facility in Armenia orchestrated by the Americans. Fifteen individuals, including two archbishops from the Apostolic Church, were arrested in Armenia at the end of June. Prime Minister Pashinyan said law enforcement foiled a large-scale and sinister plan by a “criminal oligarchic clergy” to destabilise the Republic of Armenia and seize power. Russia is largely to blame for its arrogance and for taking Armenia for granted. Armenia is reasserting independence, strengthening sovereignty at the expense of years of over-dependence on Russia. Moscow losing its influence in the region with Azerbaijan and Armenia distancing themselves from the former ally. Yerevan will be closely watching Moldova, where the upcoming parliamentary elections have already been targeted by Russia’s disinformation campaigns. In this regard, Armenia is increasing its cooperation with the EU. At the same time, Turkey is normalising its relations with Turkey. Russia will seek to play a managing role in the restoration of trade and transport, especially between Armenia and Azerbaijan. The real challenge is to prepare for what is to come, not the changes in Armenia, as Giragosian warned.

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