The problem as I see it is that both the OLP and the ONDP see the other as “taking their voters”. “If only those idiots supporting the <insert party here> would vote for us, then we could defeat Doug Ford!”
Meanwhile, if they ran as a semi-coalition, and got out of each others way in a few dozen ridings, they could at least reduce Ford to a minority, or possibly form a coalition. In the absence of proportional representation or a ranked ballot (or both), it’s the best way to prevent vote splitting among 60% of Ontario from allowing Ford to win again.
Examples:
Scarborough Centre: If the NDP gets out of the way, it goes from Lean PCPO to Likely OLP
Algoma-Mnitoulin: Liberals get out of the way, Toss-up NDP/PCPO → Lean NDP
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte: NDP get out of the way, Toss-up OLP/PCPO → … okay this one probably stays a toss-up, but the advantage shifts to the OLP from the PCPO.
Notably, I would leave ridings like Humber River—Black Creek out of consideration, as that’s a solid 3-way race.
If you’re concerned about being able to govern as a coalition, make your #1 priority electoral reform. Get that done and then see where it goes from there.
I took 5 minutes, and looked at one polling aggregator, and found a possible path to moving 4 seats. You need to move ~30 seats to get Ford out of power according to today’s polling. If the OLP and ONDP can’t work together to find a path to victory for them together, neither of them deserve to lead, IMO.
(Fortunately for me, I get to vote for Catherine Fife (NDP-Waterloo), and her seat is pretty safe)
I’m certainly not happy with our government, but I’m optimistic that Marit Stiles seems to be starting to figure things out.
I would really like an election with the ONDP and OLP give the OPCs a run for their money.
I think Ontario can do better and I’d like to see us achieving our potential and thriving.
The problem as I see it is that both the OLP and the ONDP see the other as “taking their voters”. “If only those idiots supporting the <insert party here> would vote for us, then we could defeat Doug Ford!”
Meanwhile, if they ran as a semi-coalition, and got out of each others way in a few dozen ridings, they could at least reduce Ford to a minority, or possibly form a coalition. In the absence of proportional representation or a ranked ballot (or both), it’s the best way to prevent vote splitting among 60% of Ontario from allowing Ford to win again.
Examples:
Notably, I would leave ridings like Humber River—Black Creek out of consideration, as that’s a solid 3-way race.
If you’re concerned about being able to govern as a coalition, make your #1 priority electoral reform. Get that done and then see where it goes from there.
I took 5 minutes, and looked at one polling aggregator, and found a possible path to moving 4 seats. You need to move ~30 seats to get Ford out of power according to today’s polling. If the OLP and ONDP can’t work together to find a path to victory for them together, neither of them deserve to lead, IMO.
(Fortunately for me, I get to vote for Catherine Fife (NDP-Waterloo), and her seat is pretty safe)
Minority government led by the ONDP is my best case Ontario.